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Markets did not react to the publication of the FRS protocol, although the document can be considered quite aggressive. Nevertheless, if Congress passes a fiscal stimulus package, it should be borne in mind that the Fed's policy may be more stringent than investors currently expect. Trump's behavio... Lire la suite

So... USA September NFP came out mixed, with below-forecast job growth offset by falling unemployment rates. However, this is a double negative for the market, as the slowdown in the rate of return to work harms the stock market, and the fall in unemployment rates does not allow counting on ne... Lire la suite

The result of Powell and Mnuchin's speeches in the US Congress can be considered the intensification of negotiations on new fiscal stimulus, which could give $1-3 trillion. to restore the economy. Trump has publicly agreed to $1.52 trillion, the final Democratic bill is demanding $2.4 trillion, but ... Lire la suite

So, … FRS Federal Reserve will not tighten monetary policy until US returns to its highest employment and inflation rate of 2%. There is still no understanding of how strong and for what specific period inflation should exceed 2.0% for the Fed to begin discussing the feasibility of raising rat... Lire la suite

The main pain points of the past week: Britain The Johnson government has submitted a draft Internal Market Law to parliament for parliamentary consideration, keywording of which violates Britain's commitments to the EU already enshrined in the Brexit agreement. In particular, this applies to ... Lire la suite